American Expatriate Costa Rica

The 3 scenarios for a torn Venezuela

Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro: Both presidents of Venezuela by the same party, but with abysmally different powers.

Faced with the violent situation in Venezuela as a result of the internal crisis, Chávez – who died in 2013- would have chosen to call for elections, sure that he would win.

Maduro, current president, prefers to resort to violence, aware that his weakness and unpopularity would not bring him back to the presidential chair.

The elections of the Assembly evidenced their lack of muscle, and the economic crisis that goes through the government has prevented the international projection,”

commented the international analyst Marco Méndez.

Nicolás Maduro was chosen by a minimum margin of votes against Henrique Capriles. The dissatisfaction of his town already adds 9 dead in the street.

Carlos Murillo -also an international analyst- envisages 3 possible scenarios for Venezuela, after the opposition took to the streets, driven by hunger, lack of services and medicines, and disrespect to legality.

The first and most likely scenario the country will face is a “white coup.”

In April 1992, 25 years ago, former Peruvian President Alberto Fujimori said:

Dissolve, temporarily dissolve the Congress of the Republic.”

Thus the government remains with absolute power, with complete authority regarding the decisions made in the country.

The second and less probable scenario is a military coup, which would imply more deaths by the wave of violence that would unleash.

Last and least probable is a call for elections, as requested by the opposition and suggested by former president Laura Chinchilla.

Thousands of people in the streets, Latin American countries opposed to Maduro and international organizations are starting to bid for a change, but for the analysts consulted the long-awaited change is not close.

crhoy.com